Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jun 4th, 2025

Wyatt Tunnicliffe • June 4, 2025

Bank of Canada holds policy rate at 2¾%.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 4, 2025

The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 2.75%, with the Bank Rate at 3% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.

Since the April Monetary Policy Report, the US administration has continued to increase and decrease various tariffs. China and the United States have stepped back from extremely high tariffs and bilateral trade negotiations have begun with a number of countries. However, the outcomes of these negotiations are highly uncertain, tariff rates are well above their levels at the beginning of 2025, and new trade actions are still being threatened. Uncertainty remains high.

While the global economy has shown resilience in recent months, this partly reflects a temporary surge in activity to get ahead of tariffs. In the United States, domestic demand remained relatively strong but higher imports pulled down first-quarter GDP. US inflation has ticked down but remains above 2%, with the price effects of tariffs still to come. In Europe, economic growth has been supported by exports, while defence spending is set to increase. China’s economy has slowed as the effects of past fiscal support fade. More recently, high tariffs have begun to curtail Chinese exports to the US. Since the financial market turmoil in April, risk assets have largely recovered and volatility has diminished, although markets remain sensitive to US policy announcements. Oil prices have fluctuated but remain close to their levels at the time of the April MPR.

In Canada, economic growth in the first quarter came in at 2.2%, slightly stronger than the Bank had forecast, while the composition of GDP growth was largely as expected. The pull-forward of exports to the United States and inventory accumulation boosted activity, with final domestic demand roughly flat. Strong spending on machinery and equipment held up growth in business investment by more than expected. Consumption slowed from its very strong fourth-quarter pace, but continued to grow despite a large drop in consumer confidence. Housing activity was down, driven by a sharp contraction in resales. Government spending also declined. The labour market has weakened, particularly in trade-intensive sectors, and unemployment has risen to 6.9%. The economy is expected to be considerably weaker in the second quarter, with the strength in exports and inventories reversing and final domestic demand remaining subdued.

CPI inflation eased to 1.7% in April, as the elimination of the federal consumer carbon tax reduced inflation by 0.6 percentage points. Excluding taxes, inflation rose 2.3% in April, slightly stronger than the Bank had expected. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation, as well as other measures of underlying inflation, moved up. Recent surveys indicate that households continue to expect that tariffs will raise prices and many businesses say they intend to pass on the costs of higher tariffs. The Bank will be watching all these indicators closely to gauge how inflationary pressures are evolving.

With uncertainty about US tariffs still high, the Canadian economy softer but not sharply weaker, and some unexpected firmness in recent inflation data, Governing Council decided to hold the policy rate as we gain more information on US trade policy and its impacts. We will continue to assess the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs.

Governing Council is proceeding carefully, with particular attention to the risks and uncertainties facing the Canadian economy. These include: the extent to which higher US tariffs reduce demand for Canadian exports; how much this spills over into business investment, employment and household spending; how much and how quickly cost increases are passed on to consumer prices; and how inflation expectations evolve.

We are focused on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. We will support economic growth while ensuring inflation remains well controlled.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is July 30, 2025. The Bank will publish its next MPR at the same time.

< Older Post Newer Post >

Wyatt Tunnicliffe

Mortgage Broker

BOOK A CALL

Everything You Need to Know About Second Mortgages

By Wyatt Tunnicliffe • September 10, 2025

What Is a Second Mortgage, Really? (It’s Not What Most People Think) If you’ve heard the term “second mortgage” and assumed it refers to the next mortgage you take out after your first one ends, you’re not alone. It’s a common misconception—but the reality is a bit different. A second mortgage isn’t about the order of mortgages over time. It’s actually about the number of loans secured against a single property —at the same time. So, What Exactly Is a Second Mortgage? When you first buy a home, your mortgage is registered on the property in first position . This simply means your lender has the primary legal claim to your property if you ever sell it or default. A second mortgage is another loan that’s added on top of your existing mortgage. It’s registered in second position , meaning the lender only gets paid out after the first mortgage is settled. If you sell your home, any proceeds go toward paying off the first mortgage first, then the second one, and any remaining equity is yours. It’s important to note: You still keep your original mortgage and keep making payments on it —the second mortgage is an entirely separate agreement layered on top. Why Would Anyone Take Out a Second Mortgage? There are a few good reasons homeowners choose this route: You want to tap into your home equity without refinancing your existing mortgage. Your current mortgage has great terms (like a low interest rate), and breaking it would trigger hefty penalties. You need access to funds quickly , and a second mortgage is faster and more flexible than refinancing. One common use? Debt consolidation . If you’re juggling high-interest credit card or personal loan debt, a second mortgage can help reduce your overall interest costs and improve monthly cash flow. Is a Second Mortgage Right for You? A second mortgage can be a smart solution in the right situation—but it’s not always the best move. It depends on your current mortgage terms, your equity, and your financial goals. If you’re curious about how a second mortgage could work for your situation—or if you’re considering your options to improve cash flow or access equity—let’s talk. I’d be happy to walk you through it and help you explore the right path forward. Reach out anytime—we’ll figure it out together.

Mortgage Refinance To Consolidate Debt

By Wyatt Tunnicliffe • September 3, 2025

If you’re a homeowner looking to optimize your finances, consider taking advantage of your home’s equity to reposition any existing debts you may have. If you’ve accumulated consumer debt, the payments required to service these debts can make it difficult to manage your daily finances. A consolidation mortgage might be a great option for you! Simply put, debt repositioning or debt consolidation is when you combine your consumer debt with a mortgage secured to your home. To make this happen, you’ll borrow against your home’s equity. This can mean refinancing an existing mortgage, securing a home equity line of credit, or taking out a second mortgage. Each mortgage option has its advantages which are best outlined in discussion with an independent mortgage professional. Some of the types of debts that you can consolidate are: Credit Card Unsecured Line of Credit Car Loan Student Loans Personal or Payday Loans Most unsecured debt carries a high interest rate because the lender doesn't have any collateral to fall back on should you default on the loan. However, as a mortgage is secured to your home, the lender has collateral and can provide you with lower rates and more favourable terms. Debt consolidation makes sense because it allows you to take high-interest unsecured debts and reposition them into a single low payment. So, when considering the best mortgage for you, getting a low rate is important, but it’s not everything. Your goal should be to lower your overall cost of borrowing. A mortgage that allows for flexibility in prepayments helps with this. It’s not uncommon to find a mortgage at a great rate that allows you to increase your payments by 15% per payment, double your payments, or make a lump sum payment of up to 15% annually. As additional payments go directly to the principal repayment of the loan, once you’ve consolidated all your debts into a single payment, it’s smart to take advantage of your prepayment privileges by paying more than just your minimum required mortgage payment, as this will help you become debt-free sooner. While there is a lot to unpack here, if you’d like to discuss what using a mortgage to reposition your debts could look like for you, here’s a simple plan we can follow: First, we’ll assess your existing debt to income ratio. We’ll establish your home’s equity. We’ll consider all your mortgage options. Lastly, we’ll reposition your debts to help optimize your finances. If this sounds like the plan for you, the best place to start is to connect directly. It would be a pleasure to work with you.