Is Now the Right Time to Buy? A Look at Canada's 2026 Housing Market

Wyatt Tunnicliffe • March 17, 2026

A Deep Dive into the 2026 Canadian Real Estate Landscape

For many Canadians, the dream of homeownership has felt like a moving target. After years of market volatility, shifting interest rates, and economic uncertainty, you might be wondering: is 2026 finally the year to make a move?

It's the biggest financial question for many households, and the answer isn't a simple yes or no. It depends on your personal circumstances, financial readiness, and where you are in the country. Let's break down the key factors shaping Canada's 2026 housing market so you can decide if now is the right time for you.

The National Picture: A Market in Transition

After a period of correction, Canada's housing market is showing signs of a gradual recovery, but it's not the frenzied pace we saw during the pandemic. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) forecasts a 5.1% increase in home sales in 2026, driven by pent-up demand from buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines.

However, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) notes that sales will likely remain below historical averages, with the market facing headwinds from a slower economy, modest income growth, and elevated unemployment levels.

What to Expect in 2026

  • National Home Sales: Recovery is underway with a 5.1% increase expected, driven by pent-up demand. However, sales will still remain below historical highs as economic uncertainty continues to weigh on buyer confidence.
  • National Average Price: Prices are forecast to rise modestly by 2.8% to $698,881. This represents steady, sustainable growth rather than the sharp spikes we saw during the pandemic years.
  • New Construction: Housing starts are projected to decline as developers face high construction costs, weaker demand, and rising inventories of unsold units. Fewer new homes being built could put upward pressure on prices in the long term.
  • Mortgage Rates: Variable rates are holding steady while fixed rates remain uncertain. The current rate environment offers some stability, but affordability continues to be a key challenge for many buyers.

Interest Rates: The Elephant in the Room

Mortgage rates have been a major factor for homebuyers. The good news is that the Bank of Canada has held its policy interest rate at 2.25% in early 2026, providing some stability for variable-rate mortgages. However, fixed rates may still see some upward pressure.

Many homeowners who secured ultra-low rates during the pandemic are now facing renewals at higher rates, which is tightening household budgets. For new buyers, the current rate environment is a significant improvement from the highs of 2024, but affordability remains a key challenge.

Regional Deep Dive: Where Are the Opportunities?

Canada's housing market is not a monolith. The story is very different depending on where you live.

Ontario & British Columbia: The Rebound

These two provinces, which saw the most significant downturns, are now poised for the strongest rebounds. CREA projects sales to increase by over 8% in both Ontario and BC in 2026. This is largely driven by pent-up demand from buyers who have been waiting for prices to stabilize.

However, the CMHC warns that housing starts in Ontario are projected to fall to near two-decade lows, which could put upward pressure on prices in the long run.

The Prairies & Quebec: Steady and Affordable

Markets in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Quebec have remained more stable and are expected to see continued growth, albeit at a more moderate pace. Alberta, in particular, stands out for its relative affordability, with prices well below the national average.

The First-Time Homebuyer Opportunity

If you're a first-time homebuyer, 2026 could present a unique window of opportunity. After years of being priced out, many are finding that the combination of lower prices and stabilized interest rates has brought homeownership back within reach.

Furthermore, the government has introduced several programs to help first-time buyers, including:

  • First-Time Home Buyers' GST/HST Rebate: A new rebate designed to help you recover some of the taxes paid on a new home.
  • Home Buyers' Plan (HBP): The withdrawal limit from your RRSP has been increased to $60,000, giving you more flexibility to fund your down payment.
  • First Home Savings Account (FHSA): A powerful savings tool that allows you to save for a down payment tax-free, helping you build your nest egg faster.

So, Is It Your Time to Buy?

While the market is showing positive signs, the decision to buy a home is deeply personal. Here are a few questions to ask yourself:

  • Is my income stable and secure? Job security is crucial when taking on a mortgage commitment that could last decades.
  • Have I saved a sufficient down payment? A larger down payment not only reduces your mortgage but can also help you avoid costly mortgage insurance.
  • Is my credit score in good shape? Your credit score directly impacts the mortgage rates you'll qualify for and could save you thousands over the life of your loan.
  • Am I prepared for the long-term costs of homeownership? Beyond the mortgage, you'll need to budget for property taxes, maintenance, insurance, and unexpected repairs.

Navigating the housing market can be complex, but you don't have to do it alone. A trusted mortgage professional can help you understand your options, get pre-approved, and determine if now is the right time for you to enter the market.

Ready to explore your options? Let's talk. I can help you make sense of the market and find a mortgage solution that fits your life and your goals.

Wyatt Tunnicliffe

Mortgage Broker

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Need Funds Between Buying and Selling? Here’s How Deposit Loans & Bridge Financing Help

By Wyatt Tunnicliffe • July 29, 2026
You’ve outgrown your current home. It no longer fits your life, so moving makes sense. And you’re not interested in juggling two properties. Selling first and buying something new feels like the right move. Ideally, you want possession of the new home before leaving the old one. That overlap makes moving easier, reduces stress, and gives you time to paint, renovate, or settle in before the boxes arrive. But there’s a common challenge. What if the down payment for your next home is tied up in the equity of the one you’re selling? That’s where bridge financing comes in. How bridge financing works Bridge financing temporarily unlocks equity from your current home once it has a firm sale . It bridges the gap between selling your existing property and purchasing your next one, allowing you to use that equity toward your down payment. What about competitive markets? In a hot market, a strong offer often means a larger deposit . If you don’t have that cash sitting in your account, but you do have equity, a deposit loan can help you compete with confidence. The non-negotiable requirement To qualify for bridge financing or a deposit loan, your current home must have a firm, unconditional sale . No firm sale = no bridge or deposit loan. Lenders need certainty to calculate available equity and manage risk. Bottom line A firm sale is the key that unlocks bridge financing and deposit loans. If you’re planning a move and want to understand how these options could work for you, let’s talk. I’m always happy to walk you through your options and help you plan your next step with confidence.

How to Qualify for a Mortgage After Bankruptcy in Canada

By Wyatt Tunnicliffe • July 22, 2026
Financial setbacks happen. Bankruptcies and consumer proposals are more common than most people realize—and they don’t define your future. Going through one doesn’t mean homeownership is off the table forever. It simply means lenders want to see that you’ve taken control, learned from the past, and built a stronger financial foundation moving forward. What lenders look at after a bankruptcy or consumer proposal How long it’s been since your discharge Your discharge date matters. For lenders, this is your reset point. There’s no law that says you must wait a specific amount of time before applying for a mortgage, but the longer your track record after discharge, the stronger your application becomes. What matters most is how responsibly you’ve managed your finances since then. Your credit rebuild Re-establishing credit is critical. After discharge, most people start with a secured credit card and use it consistently and responsibly. To be considered fully re-established, lenders typically want to see: Two active trade lines At least two years of clean payment history Credit limits of around $2,500 on each No late or missed payments Your down payment or equity The more money you can put down—or the more equity you have when refinancing—the lower the risk for the lender. A stronger down payment often opens the door to better terms and more lender options. Your debt service ratios Lenders will also look closely at how much of your income goes toward housing and other debts. The stronger your income relative to your monthly obligations, the easier it is to qualify. Conventional vs. insured mortgage options To access the most competitive mortgage products, lenders typically want to see: At least two years plus one day since discharge Fully re-established credit Minimum down payment requirements met Mortgage insurance in place if your down payment is under 20% (through CMHC, Sagen, or Canada Guaranty) Total debt obligations generally not exceeding 44% of your gross income Alternative lending options Not every situation fits neatly into a bank’s box—and that’s where alternative lending can help. Independent mortgage professionals work with both traditional and alternative lenders, including those who specialize in complex financial situations. These lenders look at the full picture: equity, income stability, and your plan moving forward. While rates and terms may not be as competitive as prime lending, alternative financing can be an effective short-term solution—especially if you need a mortgage before your credit is fully rebuilt. Let’s talk about your next step Whether you’re planning ahead for the best possible mortgage—or need a solution sooner rather than later—there are options available. If you’d like help mapping out a clear path forward, reach out anytime. I’d be happy to review your situation and help you build a plan that gets you back into homeownership with confidence.